Marc's Notes:

Markets are correcting but I do not think it will be a major crash although a minor fall might be healthy until the next leg up. The Feds still have our back in the market with all their money printing so overall we are most likely safe. Too many people are calling for a correction and that means we probably won’t have one as contrarian indicators say markets do what people DON’T expect them too.

Only when everyone is sure markets will continue up do they go down. Contrarian indicators rule always.

So the green light is still on to buy stocks; at least that’s this analyst’s opinion.

Many contrarian indicators are flashing red and many an analyst is warning a top may be in for the stock markets but I beg to differ.

Long time listeners of money matters know I am no perma bull nor stock market cheerleader like many analysts but I do believe there is a time to own an asset and a time not to and right now its still time to own stocks.

The reason is simple, ludicrous but simple and its two ludicrous words and they are "Federal Reserve".

They print money and give it to the banks. The banks don’t want to lend it to us so they buy stocks with it. The amounts are staggering, so big it moves global stock markets and as long as they keep doing it, those markets should rise.

Of course we will have setbacks and corrections but the general direction is up for now.

Even if the markets and world economies start to falter, the central banks of the world will only respond by more of the same, making even more printed money for the banking centers, and they in turn will buy even more stocks, driving  the price of almost every stock you own up even farther. A time will come when that will no longer be true, but a lot has to happen before that takes place and what happens will be clearly observable for those watching. For the novice, just look to interest rates, when they rise the markets will fall, but we are not there yet. As long as they continue to do this below, markets will rise!

Again Washington statistics out last week tell us inflation is at the lowest rate since the 1960’s

The average Joe Blow may be scratching his head as to how that can be with his medical, tuition, energy and food costs continuing to climb. Joe is confused because he doesn’t know how the Feds can claim inflation is at rock bottom when he witnesses anything but in his everyday life.

People that study this stuff however know exactly why the Feds can claim this lunacy and it starts and ends with how they measure the prices we pay.

In a nutshell, it’s impossible to claim inflation is the lowest in 60 years because they simply don’t measure it the same way they did in 60’s.

The way they calculate inflation has been changed in so many ways since the 60’s that the inflation figure we read about today in no way resembles the inflation reporting we had in back then.

Plainly put, how can you claim a comparison when the way you measure it has been altered?

Every administration since Lyndon B. Johnson has made multiple changes to how they figure inflation: so many times in fact that we can estimate at least many dozens of alterations have been made to the measuring stick.

Common sense tells us when you change the way you measure something how can anyone say its less or more than before you made the changes?

What baffles me is why major news media outlets like Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, Investors Business Daily, CNBC and almost every other new reporting agency that reports inflation statistics makes no mention of this fact.  No one ever questions the change in methodology yet parrot the inflation comparisons as if they were fact.

Even our mighty Federal Reserve, the supposedly know all and be all of everything money in America and who guides their policies by these massaged statistics fail to acknowledge the changes that have been made.

In fact, I can find no mention from anyone in government about the dream state these inflation figures live in.

The question that begs to be asked is why.

Since the multitude of inflation adjustments are freely available to anyone who bothers to look at any historical website on monetary policy, why does no one ever mention them?

My conclusion is that Washington wants us to believe there is no official inflation because it’s the policies of the Federal Reserve that causes inflation, and admitting to inflation would admit their polices have failed miserably, and that dear reader is the only real truth you will hear when it comes to inflation.

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That’s about it for now. Look for my new report coming out soon:

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All for now,

Marc